These are difficult times for mobile operators. After years of glamour and growth, stocks are being re-rated as utilities. Many markets are saturated, penetration is above 100 percent, and competition is increasing.
To complicate things, Universal Mobile Access (UMA), Fixed Mobile Convergence (FMC) and Voice-over-WiFi (wireless VoIP) create competitive advantages for everyone. BT’s Fusion product combines Bluetooth® capabilities and UMA, which means that competitors do not need to own a license—yet another cost advantage. Indeed, it is no coincidence that British Telecom, with strong broadband presence but no spectrum, is the first to offer such a service.
Rubbing salt in the wound, 3G and WiBro (Wireless Broadband)—supposedly the saviour of carriers—do not actually work that well indoors. That is to say, the combination of high frequencies (2.1), high data rates (16QAM), long ranges, and attenuation from walls is not a good mix. Of course, this isn’t just a problem for 3G. Everyone knows WiFi has poor propagation characteristics, making home networks inaccessible from the living room. At a higher frequency and faster rates, WiBro will be even more negatively affected than 3G.

However, there is hope on the horizon: Femtocells could shift the advantage back to spectrum owners. A femtocell is a simple 3G home base station; a box similar to a WiFi access point connects to broadband, but instead of using wireless VoIP or UMA, the radio uses 3G signals to connect to any standard handset. For consumers, this has all the advantages of UMA or wireless VoIP plus it allows them to use any handset instead of requiring a dual-mode handset that is expense and has a terrible battery life. Customers use their standard mobile phones with all of their numbers programmed into it. At home, calls are connected from their handset to the base station and then to the core over broadband. Those calls would be extremely cheap or even free.
Korea leads the world in broadband and advanced wireless, as the deployment of WiBro shows, so it is no surprise that it is leading the way with femtocells too. The idea is increasingly recognized in the 3G community, but the same logic holds for WiBro, and—as the carrier most advanced in deploying WiBro—it is logical that KT would be the first to develop such a program for 802.16e. The WiBro femtocells program was announced this summer as a joint initiative between KT and the technology developer picoChip.
For an operator this counters a competitive threat, improves quality for subscribers, and delivers some genuine differentiation in a cost-effective manner. Offering attractive pricing to consumers using the femtocell in the home enables operators to promote a powerful tool in signing up entire households, thereby reducing churn. Further, carriers that deliver broadband as well can bundle services as a way to reduce churn and increase ARPU from both services.
Customers should also see marked improvements in service. Customers using macrocells have to SHOUT REALLY LOUD to blast signals through walls, causing noise for other users outside. Locating the base station inside the walls improves service indoors and helps minimize angry neighbors.
Such a situation is “Shannon meets Isenberg.” Isenberg famously predicted that intelligence moves to the edge, while Shannon’s law says that the key efficiency is improving the signal-to-noise ratio. What better way than to have base stations where they are needed—at the edge, with short distances, less attenuation, less interference, and hence higher data rates? This elegant ju-jitsu incorporates the advantages of FMC while using the strength back against it. Operators can use the ideas to take customers away from fixed-line competitors and reduce churn, increase ARPU, and improve coverage and customers’ experiences.
But, as always, every new opportunity has a few bumps in the road before becoming reality; this is no exception. Competitors face three major obstacles. The first, not surprisingly, is cost. This whole idea only works if the femtocell is cheap enough. Recently, a 3G macro base station was priced at $100,000; a domestic femtocell needs to be priced below $200 to be feasible. The latest processors make this realistic.
The second challenge is working with the radio network and managing interference. This must be completely automatic and plug-and-play because there is no way that carriers’ network planning could cope with hundreds of thousands of entities. The precise techniques for addressing this are sensitive, but a number of different approaches have already been developed.
The final challenge is actually the reverse problem: provisioning and integrating with the core. This too must be plug-and-play, with no network configuration. Some carriers envisage an integrated femtocell plus broadband gateway (like Orange’s Livebox), while others want an Ethernet modem using existing broadband connections. Although the latter is simpler and could be deployed more quickly, the integrated box would give better control of QoS, security, and provisioning. Most likely consumers will see both deployed; the goal is to be really straightforward for the customer to install and use.
These challenges are solvable. As wireless competition has become a tug of wars between price-wars or who has the prettier logo, it is encouraging to see that some carriers are looking to use technology innovation to drive better services. Whichever approach wins, consumers can be sure that the increased differentiation and competitive pressure will drive better services for us all.
Rupert Baines, VP Marketing of picoChip
This article appeared in Telecoms Korea Magazine Sep-Oct 2006 Issue
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